Coronavirus and heat: will retreat if the coronavirus in the summer? When will the epidemic?

Approaching the days when thermometers reviews begin to show a really hot temperature. But can it heat to bring us respite from the storm of a pandemic coronavirus as it gives respite from the cold days? It is noteworthy that in Africa, there are large pockets coronavirus infection, possibly due to the large number of asymptomatic cases, and perhaps due to the hot dry climate.

Usually the summer brings us a much needed vacation from the cold months. The people are relaxed and spend more time on the street. But this year, experts and the researchers hope that the summer season will bring an unexpected benefit: they hope that the warmer weather will help us fight the pandemic coronavirus. Or at least give new information on whether the decline in proliferation with the onset of summer.

Heat destroys the coronavirus?

These predictions are related to the fact that the outbreak stopped after the retreat of the cold. Come the warmer months, so experts hope that the sun can do the same with the coronavirus. And no wonder, because preliminary studies of coronavirus assume its seasonality, beginning at the end of December and ending with the start of summer. The annual flu season follows this scheme, and the symptoms of the flu are one of the main symptoms of the novel coronavirus.

The ideal environment for the spread of coronavirus – wet or dry temperate climate. It is expected that with the onset of heat, the survival of the virus outside the host organism will be much less, which will reduce its infectiousness. Now the transmission coefficient of the coronavirus like flu – R0 2.3 to 2.8 (compared to measles – R0 -15).

See the statistics of infection with coronavirus in Russia

In addition, a new study coronavirus infection have also shown that summer infections have a low probability. “We can see a steady but low level of transmission of coronavirus in the summer, which can be localized to the onset of cold weather to prevent a significant increase in the incidence in the winter,” said Rob Aldridge, lead author of the study. This viewpoint is shared by other scientists, most of whom are convinced that the coming summer will have some impact on the pandemic.